{"schema":"hottub-news/story/v1","story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","title":"強颱薔琵「閃身步」？ 專家曝路徑分歧：擦邊球VS.直球對決","title_en":null,"outlets":4,"brief":null,"page":"https://hottub.news/stories/story-5hgm7fp24m","count":6,"items":[{"id":"n_6c527ahjbjjzj4e6s4xa","seq":2385222,"kind":"article","title":"擦邊或直球對決？薔琵颱風路徑分歧 專家曝「關鍵時間點」","title_en":"Will it be a close call or a straight-up confrontation? Experts reveal 'key time point' for Typhoon Rosa's path divergence","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/life/breakingnews/5611812","summary":"薔琵颱風未來路徑持續受到關注，國立台灣大學大氣科學博士林得恩指出，目前各國數值預報模式對薔琵的移動方向仍存在明顯分歧，部分模式預測颱風將在石垣島或宮古島附近北轉，對台灣影響較小；...…","published":"2026-10-20T00:53:09Z","seen":"2026-10-20T01:19:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-news-ltn-com-tw-84cb75","name":"news.ltn.com.tw","domain":"news.ltn.com.tw"},"via":"kite-news-ltn-com-tw-84cb75","mentions":3,"story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"sport","category_p":0.1599999964237213,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.3700000047683716,"political":0.14000000059604645},{"id":"n_etr3atwpcx43fr6udm5a","seq":2382041,"kind":"article","title":"秋颱難捉摸！薔琵路徑預測分2派 「登陸vs.擦邊球」這天揭曉 | 生活 | 三立新聞網 SETN.COM","title_en":"Autumn typhoon hard to predict! Rose's path forecast split into two factions 'Landfall vs. Brushing the edge' to be revealed | Life | SETN.COM","url":"https://www.setn.com/news/1925222","published":"2026-10-20T00:45:00Z","seen":"2026-10-20T00:54:39Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"setn.com","name":"setn.com","domain":"setn.com","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q7389900","name":"SET News","type":"broadcaster","country":"TW","designations":["news broadcasting","television channel"]}},"via":"gdelt-gkg-translingual","topics":["education","disaster","economy"],"authors":["&#x4E09","&#x7ACB","&#x65B0","&#x805E","&#x7DB2"],"entities":[{"id":"Q7861305","name":"Typhoon Rose","type":"event"}],"story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"lifestyle-leisure","category_p":0.23000000417232513,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.05000000074505806,"political":0.03999999910593033},{"id":"n_3gxbu5twbfvia65mgmea","seq":2382678,"kind":"article","title":"強颱「薔琵」路徑分歧！「擦邊VS.直撲」最新預測曝","title_en":"Strong typhoon 'Rosy' path divergence! 'Scraping VS. Direct Hit' latest prediction revealed","url":"https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E5%BC%B7%E9%A2%B1-%E8%96%94%E7%90%B5-%E8%B7%AF%E5%BE%91%E5%88%86%E6%AD%A7-%E6%93%A6%E9%82%8Avs-%E7%9B%B4%E6%92%B2-004500507.html","summary":"生活中心／李明融報導今年第29號強烈颱風「薔琵」結構完整且暴風圈持續擴大，目前正以西北西方向朝台灣東部海面逼近，然而各國氣象機構最新預測路徑卻出現顯著分歧，上演「東部外海擦邊」與「直球對決登陸」的兩派論戰。中央氣象署預估，隨著太平洋高壓減弱，薔琵有較大機率從東半部海面北轉「擦邊而過」；但日本氣象廳與歐洲系集模式則認為高壓勢力頑強，颱風恐一路西進直撲台灣本島。氣象署示警，無論最終路徑為何，薔琵暴風半徑在巔峰期恐達300公里，週五（23日）至週六（24日）將是全台受風雨影響最劇烈的關鍵時刻，最快不排除於明（21）日晚間至週四白天發布海上颱風警報。","published":"2026-10-20T00:45:00Z","seen":"2026-10-20T00:58:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"weather","category_p":0.23999999463558197,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.3199999928474426,"political":0.10000000149011612},{"id":"n_3nhnkkb6jlbhr6spf56q","seq":2382743,"kind":"article","title":"秋颱難捉摸！薔琵路徑預測分2派 「登陸vs.擦邊球」這天揭曉","title_en":"Typhoon difficult to predict! Rosapi's path forecast split into two factions, 'landfall vs. brush past' to be revealed on this day","url":"https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E7%A7%8B%E9%A2%B1%E9%9B%A3%E6%8D%89%E6%91%B8-%E8%96%94%E7%90%B5%E8%B7%AF%E5%BE%91%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%88%862%E6%B4%BE-%E7%99%BB%E9%99%B8vs-%E6%93%A6%E9%82%8A%E7%90%83-%E9%80%99%E5%A4%A9%E6%8F%AD%E6%9B%89-001900799.html","summary":"強烈颱風薔琵路徑詭譎，各國預報分歧形成「登陸」與「擦邊球」兩派。氣象專家林得恩指出，22日前後是觀察關鍵。部分AI與歐洲模式認為它將在島嶼間北轉離開，對台灣影響較小；但傳統物理模式與部分國際模式仍預測會直撲台灣登陸。目前多數模式皆有向北、東修正的趨勢，最新動向備受關注。","published":"2026-10-20T00:19:00Z","seen":"2026-10-20T00:58:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"weather","category_p":0.23000000417232513,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.23000000417232513,"political":0.05000000074505806},{"id":"n_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","seq":2352485,"kind":"article","title":"強颱薔琵「閃身步」？ 專家曝路徑分歧：擦邊球VS.直球對決","url":"https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E5%BC%B7%E9%A2%B1%E8%96%94%E7%90%B5-%E9%96%83%E8%BA%AB%E6%AD%A5-%E5%B0%88%E5%AE%B6%E6%9B%9D%E8%B7%AF%E5%BE%91%E5%88%86%E6%AD%A7-%E6%93%A6%E9%82%8A%E7%90%83vs-%E7%9B%B4%E7%90%83%E5%B0%8D%E6%B1%BA-220559034.html","summary":"中央氣象署表示，今天（20日）各地大多為多雲到晴的天氣，迎風面基隆北海岸、宜蘭、臺東及恆春半島偶有零星降雨；氣溫方面，基隆及東半部白天高溫約30至32度，西半部普遍在31至34度，局部會再更高，尤其是","published":"2026-10-19T22:05:59Z","seen":"2026-10-19T22:56:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"sport","category_p":0.46000000834465027,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.3799999952316284,"political":0.03999999910593033},{"id":"n_nimelxlvrr3zkfon7awq","seq":2404721,"kind":"article","title":"強颱薔琵「閃身步」？ 專家曝路徑分歧：擦邊球VS.直球對決","url":"https://bccnews.com.tw/archives/823274","summary":"中央氣象署表示，今天（20日）各地大多為多雲到晴的天氣，迎風面基隆北海岸、宜蘭、臺東及恆春半島偶有零星降雨；氣 […] 這篇文章 強颱薔琵「閃身步」？ 專家曝路徑分歧：擦邊球VS.直球對決 最早出現於 中廣新聞網 。","published":"2026-10-19T22:05:59Z","seen":"2026-10-20T03:29:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-bccnews-com-tw-32028c","name":"bccnews.com.tw","domain":"bccnews.com.tw"},"via":"kite-bccnews-com-tw-32028c","topics":["頭版","生活","即時","林得恩","薔琵","颱風","吳德榮"],"authors":["ryanfiveman"],"image":"https://bccnews.com.tw/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Download_PTA_202610191800_zhtw.jpg","story":"st_5hgm7fp24mqyjfi4onbq","category":"sport","category_p":0.46000000834465027,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.3799999952316284,"political":0.03999999910593033}]}