{"schema":"hottub-news/story/v1","story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","title":"強颱薔琵來了！最新侵襲機率曝光 這一地最高有50%","title_en":null,"outlets":7,"brief":null,"page":"https://hottub.news/stories/typhoon-joan-upgraded-challenging-this-years-wind-king-invasion-7azokwbzwo","count":9,"items":[{"id":"n_gfrxolgzhrtpczeaqzwq","seq":2001710,"kind":"article","title":"颱風薔琵再增強挑戰風王！路徑急北修「恐直撲台灣」 北北基侵襲機率破5成...最危險時間曝","url":"https://www.mirrordaily.news/story/92461","summary":"強烈颱風薔琵持續增強，最新預報顯示，颱風有機會再度挑戰強度巔峰，甚至角逐今年「風王」寶座。不過隨著薔琵逐漸接近台灣周邊海域，各國氣象單位對於後續走向仍存在明顯差異，部分預測路徑偏北，可能朝日本宮古島附近移動，也有預報顯示，薔琵可能直衝台灣東部，甚至從花蓮一帶登陸，颱風動態備受關注。","published":"2026-10-19T04:08:00Z","seen":"2026-10-19T05:04:01Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-mirrordaily-news-021b31","name":"mirrordaily.news","domain":"mirrordaily.news"},"via":"kite-mirrordaily-news-021b31","authors":["李羿璇"],"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"disaster-accident","category_p":0.25,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.6499999761581421,"political":0.12999999523162842},{"id":"n_ha76y6sdu2oumjblmemq","seq":1967602,"kind":"article","title":"「4地」侵襲率達50％！薔琵颱風變強恐登陸 「這2天」影響最嚴重","title_en":"'4 areas' invasion rate reaches 50%! Typhoon Rosa strengthens, expected to make landfall. Impact will be most severe in these 2 days","url":"https://www.mirrordaily.news/story/92411","summary":"今年第29號強烈颱風「薔琵」，氣象專家林得恩表示，薔琵的強度還在增強，暴風圈半徑也還在擴大當中，暴風侵襲「這4個縣市」的機率均達50％以上。氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇｜天氣特急」發文表示，薔琵侵襲台灣的機率依然偏高，不排除有登陸的可能，若對台灣造成影響，本週五、週六（23日、24日）將是影響最嚴重的時刻。","published":"2026-10-19T01:51:00Z","seen":"2026-10-19T02:01:01Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-mirrordaily-news-021b31","name":"mirrordaily.news","domain":"mirrordaily.news"},"via":"kite-mirrordaily-news-021b31","authors":["陳儷文"],"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"disaster-accident","category_p":0.23999999463558197,"category2":"weather","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.6600000262260437,"political":0.14000000059604645},{"id":"n_cgv5mgijcdh23rdqzhkq","seq":1971306,"kind":"article","title":"強烈颱風薔琵將達顛峰 北北基宜花等5地暴風侵襲率破50%！最新預測路徑曝","title_en":"Severe typhoon Joan will reach its peak, 5 areas including Taipei, New Taipei, Keelung, Yilan, and Hualien will be invaded by gales with a rate exceeding 50%! The latest forecast path is revealed","url":"https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E5%BC%B7%E7%83%88%E9%A2%B1%E9%A2%A8%E8%96%94%E7%90%B5%E5%B0%87%E9%81%94%E9%A1%9B%E5%B3%B0-%E5%8C%97%E5%8C%97%E5%9F%BA%E5%AE%9C%E8%8A%B1%E7%AD%895%E5%9C%B0%E6%9A%B4%E9%A2%A8%E4%BE%B5%E8%A5%B2%E7%8E%87%E7%A0%B450%EF%BC%81%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E8%B7%AF%E5%BE%91%E6%9B%9D-020205730.html","summary":"強烈颱風薔琵勢洶洶，目前中心在關島西方海面向西北西進行，並持續增強，暴風圈半徑也持續擴大，預計今、明兩天即達顛峰。中央氣象署最新颱風消息預測，強颱薔琵未來120小時暴風侵襲機率，台北、新北、基隆、花蓮、宜蘭地區都在50%以上，且機率還在上升。因秋颱難以捉摸，同時颱風薔琵有機會打破今年維持強颱等級的時間最長的紀錄，民眾應儘速作好防颱準備。","published":"2026-10-19T01:33:14Z","seen":"2026-10-19T02:18:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"weather","category_p":0.28999999165534973,"category2":"disaster-accident","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.550000011920929,"political":0.10999999940395355},{"id":"n_mmkt4vftt7h2zf5e7rgq","seq":1967722,"kind":"article","title":"薔琵維持強颱「恐達1週」！ 專家分析：4地侵襲率達50%「且還在增加中」","title_en":"Typhoon 'Rose' remains a strong typhoon 'could last for a week'! Experts analyze: 4 areas have a 50% invasion rate 'and it is still increasing'","url":"https://www.mirrormedia.mg/story/20261019edi006","published":"2026-10-19T01:29:00Z","seen":"2026-10-19T02:03:01Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","name":"mirrormedia.mg","domain":"mirrormedia.mg","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q52089378","name":"Mirror Media","type":"magazine","designations":["magazine"]}},"via":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","entities":[{"id":"Q34687","name":"Rosa","type":"event"}],"image":"https://v3-statics.mirrormedia.mg/images/388423b4-c58c-4534-99e0-0375e715cd37-w1600.png","story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"weather","category_p":0.33000001311302185,"category2":"disaster-accident","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.7099999785423279,"political":0.05000000074505806},{"id":"n_ufrdwhz3ofmhugujbq2a","seq":1960177,"kind":"article","title":"薔琵恐維持強颱1週！專家示警「4地」侵襲率達50％：機率上升中 - 生活","title_en":"Typhoon Rose expected to maintain strength for a week! Experts warn '4 areas' invasion rate reaches 50%: probability rising - Life","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/life/breakingnews/5610809","published":"2026-10-19T00:45:00Z","seen":"2026-10-19T00:53:54Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"ltn.com.tw","name":"ltn.com.tw","domain":"ltn.com.tw","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q697462","name":"Liberty Times","type":"newspaper","country":"TW","designations":["newspaper","online newspaper"]}},"via":"gdelt-gkg-translingual","topics":["economy","disaster","science"],"authors":["&#x81EA","&#x7531","&#x6642","&#x5831","&#x96FB"],"mentions":3,"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"weather","category_p":0.3100000023841858,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.3100000023841858,"political":0.05000000074505806},{"id":"n_rytemb6z36fwbwaq3raq","seq":1949115,"kind":"article","title":"4地暴風侵襲率破50%！強颱薔琵將達顛峰 最新「撲向台灣」預測路徑曝 | 生活","title_en":"4 areas hit by storms with over 50% chance! Strong typhoon Saola to peak, latest 'heading towards Taiwan' forecast revealed | Life","url":"https://www.setn.com/news/1924725","published":"2026-10-18T23:00:00Z","seen":"2026-10-18T23:35:03Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"setn.com","name":"setn.com","domain":"setn.com","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q7389900","name":"SET News","type":"broadcaster","country":"TW","designations":["news broadcasting","television channel"]}},"via":"gdelt-gkg-translingual","topics":["disaster","economy"],"authors":["&#x4E09","&#x7ACB","&#x65B0","&#x805E","&#x7DB2"],"entities":[{"id":"Q865","name":"Taiwan","type":"place"},{"id":"Q218792","name":"saola","type":"event"}],"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"disaster-accident","category_p":0.23999999463558197,"category2":"weather","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.10000000149011612,"political":0.10000000149011612},{"id":"n_am35x72c32hzcnmce2ua","seq":1943970,"kind":"article","title":"4地暴風侵襲率破50%！強颱薔琵將達顛峰 最新「撲向台灣」預測路徑曝","title_en":"4 areas hit by storms with over 50% chance! Strong typhoon Rosa will peak, latest 'heading towards Taiwan' path prediction revealed","url":"https://tw.news.yahoo.com/4%E5%9C%B0%E6%9A%B4%E9%A2%A8%E4%BE%B5%E8%A5%B2%E7%8E%87%E7%A0%B450-%E5%BC%B7%E9%A2%B1%E8%96%94%E7%90%B5%E5%B0%87%E9%81%94%E9%A1%9B%E5%B3%B0-%E6%9C%80%E6%96%B0-%E6%92%B2%E5%90%91%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3-%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E8%B7%AF%E5%BE%91%E6%9B%9D-221300068.html","summary":"中央氣象署發布高溫資訊，今臺中、臺南及屏東為黃色燈號。強烈颱風薔琵來勢洶洶，目前中心在關島西方海面，向西北西進行。專家林得恩示警，薔琵強度持續增強、暴風圈擴大，雙北、基隆及宜蘭未來120小時暴風侵襲機率突破50%，秋颱路徑難捉摸，呼籲民眾儘早做好防颱整備。吳德榮指出，今明兩天西半部晴朗穩定，呈秋老虎型態；週三下午起東北季風增強，週五、六受薔琵影響，各地風雨劇烈程度取決於其路徑，威脅不可小覷，應密切關注最新氣象動態。","published":"2026-10-18T22:13:00Z","seen":"2026-10-18T23:12:00Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"disaster-accident","category_p":0.23999999463558197,"category2":"weather","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.5699999928474426,"political":0.12999999523162842},{"id":"n_gawhhtlnoezbs5ajbb6q","seq":1878695,"kind":"article","title":"強颱薔琵來了！最新侵襲機率曝光 這一地最高有50%","url":"https://news.nextapple.com/life/20261018/AD8991C7B4B0153973A4C0F9C7B8ECB5","summary":"強烈颱風薔琵來勢洶洶，中央氣象署預估，颱風可能在週五（23日）至週日（25日）最接近台灣，不排除發布海上、陸上颱風警報，北部及東半部雨勢也可能明顯增加。","published":"2026-10-18T08:37:31Z","seen":"2026-10-18T17:08:23Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-nextapple-com-bc3f16","name":"tw.nextapple.com","domain":"tw.nextapple.com"},"via":"kite-tw-nextapple-com-bc3f16","topics":["生活"],"authors":["黃泓哲"],"image":"https://static-cdn.nextapple.tw/prod/2026-10/AD8991C7B4B0153973A4C0F9C7B8ECB5/cac89984ec1b31f9e1986997499ae05f_1280.webp","mentions":2,"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"weather","category_p":0.3199999928474426,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.38999998569488525,"political":0.05000000074505806},{"id":"n_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","seq":1817942,"kind":"article","title":"強颱薔琵再升級挑戰今年風王！各地侵襲機率續增 北、東地區破35％","title_en":"Typhoon Joan upgraded, challenging this year's wind king! Invasion probability continues to increase, north and east regions exceed 35%","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/life/breakingnews/5610070","summary":"強烈颱風薔琵持續增強，有機會挑戰今年風王寶座，路徑持續西修，全台各地侵襲機率漸增，北、東縣市受侵襲機率達3成5以上，花蓮40%恐首當其衝。 根據中央氣象署觀測顯示，薔琵颱風...…","published":"2026-10-18T03:02:51Z","seen":"2026-10-18T04:22:23Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-news-ltn-com-tw-84cb75","name":"news.ltn.com.tw","domain":"news.ltn.com.tw"},"via":"kite-news-ltn-com-tw-84cb75","entities":[{"id":"Q7861213","name":"Typhoon Joan","type":"event"}],"story":"st_7azokwbzwonwhrqieafa","category":"weather","category_p":0.4300000071525574,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.41999998688697815,"political":0.07999999821186066}]}