{"schema":"hottub-news/story/v1","story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","title":"彩雲將北轉 侵台可能性曝光！高機率直奔「大型強颱」","title_en":"Typhoon will turn north, possibility of invading Taiwan exposed! High probability of heading directly to 'large strong typhoon'","outlets":3,"brief":null,"page":"https://hottub.news/stories/possible-large-typhoon-choi-wan-simulation-path-shows-no-invasion-of-lb6ultfyxp","count":5,"items":[{"id":"n_4vnn5lvnw3cy6b7qyy7q","seq":1257896,"kind":"article","title":"彩雲颱風持續增強！路徑將大轉彎北上 對台影響曝光","title_en":"Typhoon彩雲 continues to strengthen! Path will turn north with impact on Taiwan exposed","url":"https://www.mirrormedia.mg/story/20261002-172soc-105733","published":"2026-10-02T02:56:00Z","seen":"2026-10-02T03:44:10Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","name":"mirrormedia.mg","domain":"mirrormedia.mg","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q52089378","name":"Mirror Media","type":"magazine","designations":["magazine"]}},"via":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","entities":[{"id":"Q15941059","name":"Caiyun","type":"other"}],"image":"https://v3-statics.mirrormedia.mg/images/fca1eeca-b911-4cc4-adc2-16ff09486684-w1600.png","story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","category":"weather","category_p":0.38999998569488525,"category2":"disaster-accident","sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.5899999737739563,"political":0.20000000298023224},{"id":"n_pmkuaq2ixigky2hhmzma","seq":1018236,"kind":"article","title":"彩雲將北轉 侵台可能性曝光！高機率直奔「大型強颱」","title_en":"Typhoon will turn north, possibility of invading Taiwan exposed! High probability of heading directly to 'large strong typhoon'","url":"https://news.nextapple.com/life/20261001/93837D88EE1752409AA0618AB4FF97E5","summary":"原位於關島附近的熱帶性低氣壓（TD30），今（1）日凌晨已發展為今年第26號颱風「彩雲」（CHOI-WAN），由於其將進入環境條件良好之海域，接下來有機會升級成一顆很大型的強颱，並北轉朝日本東南方海面前進，目前評估對台灣無直接影響。","published":"2026-09-30T23:04:04Z","seen":"2026-09-30T23:25:27Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-news-nextapple-com-e8348a","name":"news.nextapple.com","domain":"news.nextapple.com","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q113650820","name":"Next Apple News","type":"newspaper","country":"TW","designations":["online newspaper"]}},"via":"kite-news-nextapple-com-e8348a","topics":["生活"],"authors":["江宜潔"],"entities":[{"id":"Q140588","name":"typhoon","type":"event"},{"id":"Q865","name":"Taiwan","type":"place"}],"image":"https://static-cdn.nextapple.tw/prod/2026-10/93837D88EE1752409AA0618AB4FF97E5/fa29679fdefc12950113acecac1dbc1f_1280.webp","mentions":2,"story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","category":"weather","category_p":0.6000000238418579,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.6100000143051147,"political":0.17000000178813934},{"id":"n_2p4x7bhujhy674gkefgq","seq":799176,"kind":"article","title":"彩雲可能發展為「大型颱風」！ 氣象專家曝「侵台機率」","title_en":"Typhoon may develop from Choi-wan! Meteorological experts reveal 'invasion of Taiwan' probability","url":"https://www.mirrormedia.mg/story/20260930edi003","published":"2026-09-29T23:41:00Z","seen":"2026-09-30T01:32:51Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","name":"mirrormedia.mg","domain":"mirrormedia.mg","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q52089378","name":"Mirror Media","type":"magazine","designations":["magazine"]}},"via":"kite-mirrormedia-mg-e48854","entities":[{"id":"Q865","name":"Taiwan","type":"place"}],"image":"https://v3-statics.mirrormedia.mg/images/1db45f6d-a73a-4788-af86-998818ce57b0-w1600.jpg","story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","category":"weather","category_p":0.5199999809265137,"sentiment":"negative","tone":-0.41999998688697815,"political":0.05999999865889549},{"id":"n_vxikfitpew5jivcynqca","seq":790194,"kind":"article","title":"「大型颱風」彩雲可能生成！專家揭侵台機率","title_en":"'Large typhoon' Choi-wan may form! Experts reveal the probability of invading Taiwan","url":"https://news.nextapple.com/life/20260930/C8A8CFEF16232E77D9614EED27BC9591","summary":"第25號輕颱舒力基持續減弱之際，關島東方又有熱帶系統醞釀，可能發展成今年第26號颱風「彩雲」。中央大學大氣科學系兼任副教授吳德榮指出，最新模式模擬顯示該系統將發展為大型颱風，路徑以偏北機率最高。","published":"2026-09-29T23:15:03Z","seen":"2026-09-29T23:56:06Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-news-nextapple-com-e8348a","name":"news.nextapple.com","domain":"news.nextapple.com","outlet":{"wikidata":"Q113650820","name":"Next Apple News","type":"newspaper","country":"TW","designations":["online newspaper"]}},"via":"kite-news-nextapple-com-e8348a","topics":["生活"],"authors":["高沛生"],"image":"https://static-cdn.nextapple.tw/prod/2026-09/C8A8CFEF16232E77D9614EED27BC9591/6917b9fd3398bb3f692fd2338bbe5ddc_1280.webp","story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","category":"weather","category_p":0.47999998927116394,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.3199999928474426,"political":0.10999999940395355},{"id":"n_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","seq":790118,"kind":"article","title":"可能有「大型颱風」彩雲 模擬路徑無侵台機率","title_en":"Possible 'large typhoon' Choi-wan, simulation path shows no invasion of Taiwan","url":"https://www.ettoday.net/news/20260930/3246100.htm","summary":"「彩雲」颱風可能生成！氣象專家吳德榮表示，最新歐洲模式系集模擬顯示，關島東方有熱帶系統醞釀，將發展為大型颱風，模擬路徑以偏北機率最高，無侵台機率，模式將繼續調整，應持續觀察。 《詳全文...》","published":"2026-09-29T21:57:00Z","seen":"2026-09-29T23:48:34Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-feedburner-com-abeb68","name":"feedburner.com","domain":"feeds.feedburner.com"},"via":"kite-feedburner-com-abeb68","mentions":2,"story":"st_lb6ultfyxpv4l6cmnbsa","category":"weather","category_p":0.3400000035762787,"category2":"science-technology","sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.11999999731779099,"political":0.17000000178813934}]}