{"schema":"hottub-news/story/v1","story":"st_lk24tnjt6teav5boe7xa","title":"升息風向要變了？ 10月押注升溫 瑞銀逆勢示警：歷史恐再重演","title_en":"Is the interest rate trend changing? October bets on warming. UBS warns against the trend: history may repeat itself","outlets":1,"brief":null,"page":"https://hottub.news/stories/is-the-interest-rate-trend-changing-october-bets-on-warming-ubs-warns-lk24tnjt6t","count":1,"items":[{"id":"n_lk24tnjt6teav5boe7xa","seq":711025,"kind":"article","title":"升息風向要變了？ 10月押注升溫 瑞銀逆勢示警：歷史恐再重演","title_en":"Is the interest rate trend changing? October bets on warming. UBS warns against the trend: history may repeat itself","url":"https://tw.stock.yahoo.com/news/%E5%8D%87%E6%81%AF%E9%A2%A8%E5%90%91%E8%A6%81%E8%AE%8A%E4%BA%86-10%E6%9C%88%E6%8A%BC%E6%B3%A8%E5%8D%87%E6%BA%AB-%E7%91%9E%E9%8A%80%E9%80%86%E5%8B%A2%E7%A4%BA%E8%AD%A6-%E6%AD%B7%E5%8F%B2%E6%81%90%E5%86%8D%E9%87%8D%E6%BC%94-151850555.html","summary":"市場目前普遍押注聯準會（Fed）10月再度升息。FedWatch顯示，市場預估Fed下月再升息1碼的機率已升至69%。不過，瑞銀（UBS）分析師Simon Penn從過去35年歷史紀錄判斷，Fed在期中選舉前的10月會議從未升息，因此這次可能也不例外，10月升息預期恐怕已被市場高估。","published":"2026-09-29T15:18:50Z","seen":"2026-09-29T15:48:08Z","lang":"zh","country":"TW","source":{"id":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","name":"tw.news.yahoo.com","domain":"tw.news.yahoo.com"},"via":"kite-tw-news-yahoo-com-ae7227","entities":[{"id":"Q193199","name":"UBS","type":"org"}],"story":"st_lk24tnjt6teav5boe7xa","category":"economy-business","category_p":0.699999988079071,"sentiment":"neutral","tone":-0.25,"political":0.11999999731779099}]}